Patrick Cote vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BTT CanadaTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Thiago Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1735
If they lose-17→ 1711
If they win+17→ 1589
If they lose-7→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick CoteThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Cote78%
Thiago Alves 22%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 78% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1572, a 156-point edge.
Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cote finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Patrick Cote carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.