Patrick Cote vs Travis Lutter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
BTT CanadaTeamLion's Den Dallas
What's at stake
Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Travis Lutter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1733
If they lose-19→ 1709
If they win+38→ 1542
If they lose-10→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Patrick CoteTravis Lutter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Cote81%
Travis Lutter 19%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 81% favorite over Travis Lutter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1504, a 224-point edge.
Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cote finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Travis Lutter 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.