Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Habirora vs Paul Daley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Daley
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Paul Daley

“Semtex”

43-18-2WelterweightBFC

1724Good

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record43-18-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Red KingsTeamSpirit Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick HabiroraNow 1725
If they win+24→ 1749
If they lose-24→ 1701
Paul DaleyNow 1724
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.91
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Patrick HabiroraPaul Daley
155016001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
35 (81%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
8 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Habirora66%
Paul Daley 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Habirora a 66% favorite over Paul Daley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1724), separated by just 1 points.

Patrick Habirora enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Patrick Habirora finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Paul Daley 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.