Patrick Habirora vs Rory MacDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record23-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach76.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Red KingsTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1749
If they lose-24→ 1701
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1729 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Patrick HabiroraRory MacDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Habirora52%
Rory MacDonald 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Habirora a 52% favorite over Rory MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1725), separated by just 0 points.
Patrick Habirora enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Rory MacDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Patrick Habirora finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Rory MacDonald 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.