Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Habirora vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Red KingsTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick HabiroraNow 1725
If they win+24→ 1749
If they lose-24→ 1701
Saygid IzagakhmaevNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Patrick HabiroraSaygid Izagakhmaev
1600170020252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (59%)
1 (11%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Patrick Habirora and Saygid Izagakhmaev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.

Patrick Habirora enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Habirora finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.