Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Hill vs Robbie Peralta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record19-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
67"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TeamTeam Xplode MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick HillNow 1536
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
Robbie PeraltaNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.59
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Patrick HillRobbie Peralta
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
13 (68%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (11%)
3 (60%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Hill76%
Robbie Peralta 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Hill a 76% favorite over Robbie Peralta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robbie Peralta's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1537), separated by just 1 points.

Robbie Peralta enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Patrick Hill finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Peralta 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.