Patrick Ocheme vs Trey Ogden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record18-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach72"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mayhem Fitness AcademyTeamMarathon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Patrick OchemeTrey Ogden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Ocheme60%
Trey Ogden 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Ocheme a 60% favorite over Trey Ogden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trey Ogden's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.
Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Patrick Ocheme finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.
Patrick Ocheme carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.