Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Rivera vs Peace Nguphane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach70.7"
170 lbsWeight168 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick RiveraNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Peace NguphaneNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1452 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Patrick RiveraPeace Nguphane
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
5 (38%)
Submission
1 (11%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Patrick Rivera and Peace Nguphane within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Patrick Rivera enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Peace Nguphane enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Patrick Rivera finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Peace Nguphane 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.