Patrick Rivera vs Ricky Rainey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach43,5"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Ground Control AcademyTeamRenegade Fighting Systems
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1467 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Patrick RiveraRicky Rainey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Rainey60%
Patrick Rivera 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Rainey a 60% favorite over Patrick Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Rivera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.
Ricky Rainey enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Rivera finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Rainey 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.