Patrick Smith vs Ray Wizard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-17-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
225 lbsWeight180 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Patrick Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ray Wizard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1513
If they lose-13→ 1489
If they win+26→ 1498
If they lose-22→ 1450
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Patrick SmithRay Wizard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ray Wizard56%
Patrick Smith 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Ray Wizard a 56% favorite over Patrick Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Smith's way (46%).
Patrick Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1472, a 30-point edge.
Patrick Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Patrick Smith finishes 95% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.