Patrick Smith vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-17-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
225 lbsWeight240 lbs
TeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1514
If they lose-12→ 1490
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Patrick SmithSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter62%
Patrick Smith 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 62% favorite over Patrick Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1509), separated by just 7 points.
Patrick Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Patrick Smith finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.