Patrick Smith vs Scott Morris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-17-0Record2-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
225 lbsWeight210 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Scott Morris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Patrick Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1515
If they lose-11→ 1491
If they win+22→ 1548
If they lose-26→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Patrick SmithScott Morris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Scott Morris53%
Patrick Smith 47%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Scott Morris a 53% favorite over Patrick Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Scott Morris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1502, a 24-point edge.
Patrick Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Patrick Smith finishes 95% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.