Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrick Williams vs Tomáš Deák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'4"
73,0"Reach65.7"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
IndependentTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrick WilliamsNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Tomáš DeákNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.12
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
2.71
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.54
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Patrick WilliamsTomáš Deák
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
3 (38%)
Submission
11 (44%)
1 (13%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Deák78%
Patrick Williams 22%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 78% favorite over Patrick Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1565), separated by just 5 points.

Patrick Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Williams finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.

Patrick Williams carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.