Patrik Kincl vs Ryan Gandra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-12-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
All Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFlavio Baiano Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Patrik KinclRyan Gandra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrik Kincl55%
Ryan Gandra 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Kincl a 55% favorite over Ryan Gandra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1712), separated by just 0 points.
Patrik Kincl enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ryan Gandra enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Patrik Kincl finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 82%.
Ryan Gandra carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.