Combat Edge Intelligence

Patrik White vs Rustam Asuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
41,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
Anchorage BJJTeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patrik WhiteNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Rustam AsuevNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.77
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Patrik WhiteRustam Asuev
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Asuev55%
Patrik White 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 55% favorite over Patrik White in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrik White's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Patrik White finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.