Combat Edge Intelligence

Patryk Kaczmarczyk vs Victor Hugo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Victor Hugo
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Victor Hugo

“STRIKER”

25-5-0BantamweightUFC

1679Good

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record25-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"HeightTBD
71"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patryk KaczmarczykNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Victor HugoNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.95
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.81
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
74%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Patryk KaczmarczykVictor Hugo
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
7 (28%)
4 (29%)
Submission
10 (40%)
7 (50%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Patryk Kaczmarczyk60%
Victor Hugo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patryk Kaczmarczyk a 60% favorite over Victor Hugo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Hugo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1679), separated by just 1 points.

Patryk Kaczmarczyk enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Patryk Kaczmarczyk finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Victor Hugo 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.