Paul Buentello vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-17-0Record29-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height7'0"
TBDReach84,5"
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
Stefan Struve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Paul Buentello carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1656
If they lose-11→ 1632
If they win+11→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul BuentelloStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stefan Struve60%
Paul Buentello 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Stefan Struve a 60% favorite over Paul Buentello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Stefan Struve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1643, a 21-point edge.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paul Buentello finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.