Paul Buentello vs Steven Asplund
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-17-0Record8-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight261 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamMcCune's Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul BuentelloSteven Asplund
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Asplund73%
Paul Buentello 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 73% favorite over Paul Buentello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.
Paul Buentello finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.