Combat Edge Intelligence

Paul Creighton vs Yusuke Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record2-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paul CreightonNow 1526
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
Yusuke SatoNow 1527
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.72
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
75%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
30%
Strike defense
TBD
5.37
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Paul CreightonYusuke Sato
15001550200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
2 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusuke Sato55%
Paul Creighton 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusuke Sato a 55% favorite over Paul Creighton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1527), separated by just 1 points.

Paul Creighton finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.