Paul Elliott vs Ricco Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record54-27-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
76.4"ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight225 lbs
TFT MMATeamAmerican Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paul ElliottRicco Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Elliott62%
Ricco Rodriguez 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Elliott a 62% favorite over Ricco Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.
Ricco Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paul Elliott finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricco Rodriguez 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.