Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze vs Samuele Di Guardo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-7-0Record4-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
252 lbsWeight265 lbs
Factory 84TeamAurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Samuele Di Guardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1518
If they lose-17→ 1486
If they win+25→ 1512
If they lose-23→ 1464
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paul-Emmanuel GnazeSamuele Di Guardo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze53%
Samuele Di Guardo 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze a 53% favorite over Samuele Di Guardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1503 to 1487, a 16-point edge.
Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Samuele Di Guardo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Samuele Di Guardo 75%.
Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze and Samuele Di Guardo share 1 common opponent: Tamerlan Albiekov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.