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Combat Edge Intelligence

Paul Felder vs Piero Guaylupo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Felder
us

Paul Felder

“The Irish Dragon”

17-6-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record13-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70,5"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamLos Perros Sarnosos

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paul FelderNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Piero GuaylupoNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.70
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
49%
Strike defense
Not available
0.29
Takedown avg.
Not available
29%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
65%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.22
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Paul FelderPiero Guaylupo
1600165017001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (35%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Piero Guaylupo52%
Paul Felder 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Piero Guaylupo a 52% favorite over Paul Felder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Felder's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.

Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Piero Guaylupo enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Paul Felder finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Piero Guaylupo 85%.

Paul Felder carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.