Combat Edge Intelligence

Paul Felder vs Rafael dos Anjos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Felder
us

Paul Felder

“The Irish Dragon”

17-6-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record32-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70,5"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RoufusportTeamRDA Academy

What's at stake

Paul Felder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rafael dos Anjos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Paul FelderNow 1734
If they win+11→ 1745
If they lose-13→ 1721
Rafael dos AnjosNow 1713
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.70
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
49%
Strike defense
60%
0.29
Takedown avg.
1.95
29%
Takedown accuracy
36%
65%
Takedown defense
55%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Paul FelderRafael dos Anjos
170017502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
5 (16%)
1 (6%)
Submission
11 (34%)
6 (35%)
Decision
16 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Felder70%
Rafael dos Anjos 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Felder a 70% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Paul Felder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1713, a 21-point edge.

Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Paul Felder finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.