Paul Felder vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record32-18-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70,5"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamRDA Academy
What's at stake
Paul Felder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rafael dos Anjos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1745
If they lose-13→ 1721
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-11→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paul FelderRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos53%
Paul Felder 47%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 53% favorite over Paul Felder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Felder's way (45%).
Paul Felder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1698, a 36-point edge.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Paul Felder finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.