Paul Felder vs Ross Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record20-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70,5"Reach69,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RoufusportTeamCentral Coast MMA
What's at stake
Paul Felder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1741
If they lose-17→ 1717
If they win+17→ 1589
If they lose-7→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul FelderRoss Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Felder84%
Ross Pearson 16%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Felder a 84% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Paul Felder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1572, a 162-point edge.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Paul Felder finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ross Pearson 60%.
Paul Felder and Ross Pearson share 3 common opponents: Dan Hooker, Stevie Ray and Francisco Trinaldo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.