Paul Felder vs Stevie Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamHigher Level MMA
What's at stake
Paul Felder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Stevie Ray carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1743
If they lose-15→ 1719
If they win+20→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul FelderStevie Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Felder64%
Stevie Ray 36%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Felder a 64% favorite over Stevie Ray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Paul Felder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1644, a 90-point edge.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stevie Ray enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paul Felder finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.