Combat Edge Intelligence

Paul Felder vs Tofiq Musayev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Felder
us

Paul Felder

“The Irish Dragon”

17-6-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record24-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70,5"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamOrion Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paul FelderNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Tofiq MusayevNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.70
Sig. strikes / min
1.84
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.74
49%
Strike defense
51%
0.29
Takedown avg.
2.30
29%
Takedown accuracy
60%
65%
Takedown defense
50%
0.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Paul FelderTofiq Musayev
17001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (59%)
KO/TKO
19 (79%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (8%)
6 (35%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Tofiq Musayev70%
Paul Felder 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tofiq Musayev a 70% favorite over Paul Felder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Felder's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1734), separated by just 0 points.

Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tofiq Musayev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Paul Felder finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.