Paul Hughes vs Samandar Murodov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record10-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"ReachTBD
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat Tajikistan
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
If they win+16→ 1738
If they lose-16→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paul HughesSamandar Murodov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Hughes62%
Samandar Murodov 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Hughes a 62% favorite over Samandar Murodov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Samandar Murodov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1722), separated by just 1 points.
Samandar Murodov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Paul Hughes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Samandar Murodov 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.