Paul Hughes vs Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record15-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach70"
159 lbsWeight171 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1590 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAlfa Profi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul HughesZhakshylyk Myrzabekov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov58%
Paul Hughes 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov a 58% favorite over Paul Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Hughes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Paul Hughes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.