Paul Jones vs Rodolfo Bellato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-1Record13-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
198 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamKnockout Squad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul JonesRodolfo Bellato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rodolfo Bellato53%
Paul Jones 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Bellato a 53% favorite over Paul Jones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Jones's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.
Paul Jones finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.