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Combat Edge Intelligence

Paul Kelly vs Rolando Delgado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Paul Kelly
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Paul Kelly

“Tellys”

15-5-0WelterweightPMMA

1535Average

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record11-6-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KaobonTeamWestside Fight Team

What's at stake

Paul Kelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rolando Delgado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Paul KellyNow 1535
If they win+14→ 1549
If they lose-18→ 1517
Rolando DelgadoNow 1487
If they win+27→ 1514
If they lose-21→ 1466

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
38%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
60%
Strike defense
62%
1.34
Takedown avg.
1.17
60%
Takedown accuracy
22%
31%
Takedown defense
0%
1.49
Submission avg.
3.51

Trajectory

Paul KellyRolando Delgado
150015502009201020112012

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (27%)
Submission
6 (55%)
3 (20%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Kelly58%
Rolando Delgado 42%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Kelly a 58% favorite over Rolando Delgado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Paul Kelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1535 to 1487, a 48-point edge.

Paul Kelly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rolando Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Paul Kelly finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Delgado 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.