Paul Rodriguez vs Tony DeSouza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-9-2Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
American Top Team OrlandoTeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
Tony DeSouza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Paul Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1575
If they lose-11→ 1543
If they win+11→ 1668
If they lose-21→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tony DeSouza59%
Paul Rodriguez 41%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Tony DeSouza a 59% favorite over Paul Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Tony DeSouza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1554, a 103-point edge.
Paul Rodriguez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tony DeSouza 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.