Paul Ruiz vs Pietro Mochetti
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record5-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamAurora MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1574
If they lose-24→ 1526
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul RuizPietro Mochetti
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pietro Mochetti60%
Paul Ruiz 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Pietro Mochetti a 60% favorite over Paul Ruiz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Ruiz's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1544), separated by just 6 points.
Paul Ruiz finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Pietro Mochetti 20%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.