Paul Taylor vs Peter Sobotta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-1Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team SupremeTeamPlanet Eater· 1647 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Peter Sobotta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Paul Taylor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1557
If they lose-11→ 1525
If they win+8→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paul TaylorPeter Sobotta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Peter Sobotta62%
Paul Taylor 38%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Peter Sobotta a 62% favorite over Paul Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Peter Sobotta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1536, a 116-point edge.
Paul Taylor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paul Taylor finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Peter Sobotta 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.