Paul Taylor vs Sam Stout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-1Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team SupremeTeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
Sam Stout is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Paul Taylor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1554
If they lose-13→ 1522
If they win+10→ 1604
If they lose-14→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul TaylorSam Stout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Stout67%
Paul Taylor 33%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Stout a 67% favorite over Paul Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Sam Stout holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1535, a 59-point edge.
Paul Taylor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Paul Taylor finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.