Paul Varelans vs Tank Abbott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-9-0Record10-15-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
300 lbsWeight250 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Tank Abbott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Paul Varelans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1530
If they lose-10→ 1498
If they win+10→ 1659
If they lose-22→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paul VarelansTank Abbott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tank Abbott68%
Paul Varelans 32%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Tank Abbott a 68% favorite over Paul Varelans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Tank Abbott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1508, a 141-point edge.
Tank Abbott enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Paul Varelans finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tank Abbott 90%.
Paul Varelans and Tank Abbott share 2 common opponents: Kimo Leopoldo and Dan Severn.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.