Combat Edge Intelligence

Paula Sanchez vs Ryan MacDonald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'11"
-Reach40.00
130 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sutemi MMATeamDisorderly Conduct

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paula SanchezNow 1511
If they win+24→ 1535
If they lose-24→ 1487
Ryan MacDonaldNow 1507
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
29%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Paula SanchezRyan MacDonald
150020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (100%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Paula Sanchez60%
Ryan MacDonald 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Paula Sanchez a 60% favorite over Ryan MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1507), separated by just 4 points.

Ryan MacDonald 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.