Paulin Begai vs Vladislav Yankovskiy
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Vladislav Yankovskiy59%
Paulin Begai 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vladislav Yankovskiy a 59% favorite over Paulin Begai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulin Begai's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1581), separated by just 1 points.
Paulin Begai finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vladislav Yankovskiy 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-5-1Record11-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
206 lbsWeight187 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamAcademy MMA Minsk
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paulin BegaiVladislav Yankovskiy