Paulo Costa vs Uriah Hall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team BorrachaTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Paulo Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Uriah Hall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1767
If they lose-19→ 1735
If they win+14→ 1711
If they lose-10→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1747 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paulo CostaUriah Hall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paulo Costa79%
Uriah Hall 21%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Costa a 79% favorite over Uriah Hall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Paulo Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1697, a 57-point edge.
Paulo Costa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Uriah Hall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paulo Costa finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Uriah Hall 82%.
Paulo Costa and Uriah Hall share 1 common opponent: Sean Strickland.
Uriah Hall carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.