Paulo Costa vs Wanderlei Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record35-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team BorrachaTeamWand Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
If they win+12→ 1763
If they lose-12→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1747 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paulo CostaWanderlei Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paulo Costa76%
Wanderlei Silva 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paulo Costa a 76% favorite over Wanderlei Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1751), separated by just 3 points.
Paulo Costa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Wanderlei Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paulo Costa finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Wanderlei Silva 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.