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Combat Edge Intelligence

Paulo Santos vs Sean Daughtery

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

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Team

What's at stake

Sean Daughtery is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Paulo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Paulo SantosNow 1440
If they win+26→ 1466
If they lose-22→ 1418
Sean DaughteryNow 1470
If they win+22→ 1492
If they lose-26→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Paulo SantosSean Daughtery
1450150019951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Sean Daughtery66%
Paulo Santos 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Daughtery a 66% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Sean Daughtery holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1470 to 1440, a 30-point edge.

Paulo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.