Paulo Thiago vs Vitaly Slipenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-0Record18-9-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight177 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paulo ThiagoVitaly Slipenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitaly Slipenko83%
Paulo Thiago 17%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitaly Slipenko a 83% favorite over Paulo Thiago in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulo Thiago's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1595), separated by just 0 points.
Paulo Thiago finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vitaly Slipenko 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.