Paulo Victor vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record21-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'2"Height5'7"
-Reach66"
129 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paulo VictorTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Elliott69%
Paulo Victor 31%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 69% favorite over Paulo Victor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulo Victor's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1645), separated by just 4 points.
Paulo Victor finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.