Combat Edge Intelligence

Pavel Vitruk vs Yoshiro Maeda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-1Record39-19-3
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight128 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamPancrase Inagakigumi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pavel VitrukNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Yoshiro MaedaNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.86
TBD
Strike accuracy
29%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.96
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
75%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.14

Trajectory

Pavel VitrukYoshiro Maeda
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
15 (39%)
1 (5%)
Submission
8 (21%)
13 (68%)
Decision
15 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Pavel Vitruk72%
Yoshiro Maeda 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Vitruk a 72% favorite over Yoshiro Maeda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yoshiro Maeda's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1601), separated by just 2 points.

Pavel Vitruk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Pavel Vitruk finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Yoshiro Maeda 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.