Pawel Nastula vs Prince Aounallah
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-6-0Record20-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
233 lbsWeight246 lbs
Nastula TeamTeamFree Fight Academy· 1536 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pawel NastulaPrince Aounallah
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Prince Aounallah57%
Pawel Nastula 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Prince Aounallah a 57% favorite over Pawel Nastula in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pawel Nastula's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1519), separated by just 5 points.
Pawel Nastula enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Prince Aounallah enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pawel Nastula finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Prince Aounallah 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.