Pawel Pawlak vs Saygid Izagakhmaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-4-1Record22-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Octopus LodzTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1729 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pawel PawlakSaygid Izagakhmaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Saygid Izagakhmaev71%
Pawel Pawlak 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Saygid Izagakhmaev a 71% favorite over Pawel Pawlak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1734), separated by just 2 points.
Pawel Pawlak enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pawel Pawlak finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.