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Combat Edge Intelligence

Payton Talbott vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Payton TalbottNow 1761
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745
Raoni BarcelosNow 1759
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.62
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
57%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
47%
Strike defense
61%
0.78
Takedown avg.
2.51
0%
Takedown accuracy
3%
78%
Takedown defense
88%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Payton TalbottRaoni Barcelos
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (14%)
3 (25%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Payton Talbott77%
Raoni Barcelos 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 77% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1759), separated by just 2 points.

Payton Talbott enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Payton Talbott finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Payton Talbott carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.