Combat Edge Intelligence

Payton Talbott vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reno Academy of CombatTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Payton TalbottNow 1742
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726
Taylor LapilusNow 1750
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
55%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
46%
Strike defense
63%
0.24
Takedown avg.
0.27
25%
Takedown accuracy
33%
77%
Takedown defense
77%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Payton TalbottTaylor Lapilus
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
1 (9%)
Submission
6 (24%)
3 (27%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Payton Talbott and Taylor Lapilus within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1742 vs 1750), separated by just 8 points.

Payton Talbott enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Payton Talbott finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Taylor Lapilus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.