Payton Talbott vs TJ Dillashaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reno Academy of CombatTeamThe Treigning Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745
If they win+16→ 1776
If they lose-16→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Payton TalbottTJ Dillashaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Payton Talbott78%
TJ Dillashaw 22%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 78% favorite over TJ Dillashaw in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1760), separated by just 1 points.
Payton Talbott enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Payton Talbott finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.
Payton Talbott and TJ Dillashaw share 1 common opponent: Henry Cejudo.
Payton Talbott carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.