Pedro Falcão vs Victor Hugo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record25-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"HeightTBD
66"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamIron Jiu Jitsu
What's at stake
Victor Hugo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Pedro Falcão carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1633
If they lose-13→ 1601
If they win+13→ 1692
If they lose-19→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pedro FalcãoVictor Hugo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Victor Hugo71%
Pedro Falcão 29%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Victor Hugo a 71% favorite over Pedro Falcão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Victor Hugo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1614, a 65-point edge.
Pedro Falcão enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pedro Falcão finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Victor Hugo 68%.
Victor Hugo carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.