
Pedro Henrique Dias vs Steve Hadsel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Steve Hadsel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Pedro Henrique Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Henrique Dias a 52% favorite over Steve Hadsel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steve Hadsel's way (46%).
Steve Hadsel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1546 to 1519, a 27-point edge.
Pedro Henrique Dias enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Steve Hadsel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Steve Hadsel 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.